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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
53.98% (![]() | 21.26% (![]() | 24.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.94% (![]() | 34.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.06% (![]() | 55.94% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% (![]() | 12.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.88% (![]() | 39.12% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% (![]() | 26.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% (![]() | 61.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 6.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |