

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC | 
| 38.15% (  0.15) | 24.44% (  -0.03) | 37.41% (  -0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 59.84% (  0.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.02% (  0.17) | 42.99% (  -0.17) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.61% (  0.17) | 65.39% (  -0.17) | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.54% (  0.15) | 22.46% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44% (  0.23) | 56% (  -0.23) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.16% (  0.02) | 22.84% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.44% (  0.02) | 56.56% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC | 
| 2-1 @ 8.45% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% (  0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 11.31% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 5.13% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% (  0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.35% (  -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.59% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.07% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.02% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.41% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 61 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 32 | 30 | 56 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 45 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 34 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 30 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 30 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 19 | 
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