Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 54.84% ( | 23.43% ( | 21.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( | 17.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.08% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
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