

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 42.96% (  0.01) | 24.25% (  0) | 32.79% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 59.57% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.06% (  -0) | 42.94% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.66% (  -0) | 65.34% (  0.01) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.85% (  0) | 20.15% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.56% (  0) | 52.44% (  0) | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.61% (  -0.01) | 25.39% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.8% (  -0.01) | 60.2% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 2-1 @ 9% (  0) 1-0 @ 8.2% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.57% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.81% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.51% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.4% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.17% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.7% (  -0) 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.81% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.52% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.82% (  -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.79% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 | 
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 | 
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 | 
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
