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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
42.96% (![]() | 24.25% (![]() | 32.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.06% (![]() | 42.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.66% (![]() | 65.34% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% (![]() | 20.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.56% (![]() | 52.44% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% (![]() | 60.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.7% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |