
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 60.38% ( | 21.51% ( | 18.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( | 44.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( | 66.47% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( | 14.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.16% ( | 41.84% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( | 38.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.22% ( | 74.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 4-0 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
