We said: NAC Breda 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam
The hosts may be higher in the league table, but their form this year has been poor, and with just one win to their name in 2025, it looks unlikely that they will make it two on Friday.
On the other hand, Sparta have been much improved this year, and with the motivation of potentially climbing out of the relegation playoff spot this week, expect them to take all three points in a close-fought win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.