Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
| 50.68% ( | 24.18% ( | 25.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( | 47.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( | 69.4% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( | 18.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.06% ( | 49.94% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( | 32.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.47% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
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