Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 25.61% ( | 23.33% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( | 43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( | 30.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.48% ( | 66.52% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( | 16.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.02% ( | 46.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0-3 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 18 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 52 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 46 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 43 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 30 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | Heracles | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Willem II | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 24 |
| 16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 14 |
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