Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Heracles has a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline was Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Heracles with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-1 (11.25%), 2-0 (10.08%), 2-1 (9.76%). The actual score line of 1-1 was predicted with a 11.3%.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
| 55.43% | 23.65% | 20.92% |
| Both teams to score 51.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% | 49.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% | 71.32% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% | 17.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.78% | 48.22% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% | 37.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.25% | 74.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.57% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ajax | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 19 | 79 | 83 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86 | 42 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | NEC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Groningen | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
| 13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
| 15 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 35 |
| 16 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 34 |
| 17 | Willem II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 33 |
| R | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 27 |
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