

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen | 
| 45.45% | 25.61% | 28.94% | 
| Both teams to score 53.06% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.4% | 50.59% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.49% | 72.51% | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.76% | 22.23% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.34% | 55.66% | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.23% | 31.77% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.79% | 68.2% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen | 
| 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.94% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 | 
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 | 
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 | 
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
