Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 50.67% ( | 22.3% ( | 27.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.01% ( | 36.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( | 59.17% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( | 14.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( | 26.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.81% ( | 61.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
