MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 00:38:31| >> :600:180133:180133:
Go Ahead Eagles
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 1
Noordwijk

Suray (28'), Rietveld (73' og.), da Fonseca (78' og.)
Kramer (58'), Linthorst (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marbus (79')
Bosma (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Noordwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, February 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Noordwijk 1-0 Barendrecht
Tuesday, January 14 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 Noordwijk

While Go Ahead Eagles saw their top-scorer Oliver Valaker Edvardsen depart to Ajax in the last week, they performed exceptionally well to salvage a point against Twente over the weekend without him, and we feel they will have too much firepower for their opponents in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Noordwijk had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Noordwijk win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawNoordwijk
69.98% (0.39699999999999 0.4) 16.03% (-0.084 -0.08) 13.99% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 64.19% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.25% (-0.337 -0.34)25.74% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.11% (-0.434 -0.43)45.88% (0.429 0.43)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.33% (-0.012 -0.01)6.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)24.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Noordwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.63 -0.63)31.22% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.738 -0.74)67.57% (0.73400000000001 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 69.98%
    Noordwijk 13.99%
    Draw 16.03%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawNoordwijk
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.155 0.15)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.137 0.14)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 3.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.94% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.048 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 6.56% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.08% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.42% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.99%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Noordwijk

Go Ahead Eagles
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Noordwijk
7.7%
26
rhs 2.0
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