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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Preston North End logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Preston

Solomon (4'), Bogle (13')
Darlow (72'), Ampadu (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kesler (6')
Hughes (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Leeds
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Preston North End

Losing just one of their 20 Championship matches at Elland Road this term, Leeds are a force to be reckoned with on their own patch and should ease to victory this weekend. Preston's campaign is beginning to peter out and they could be the latest victims of an attacking onslaught from Farke's side on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 7.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
77.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 15.22% (0.041 0.04) 7.16% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 39.52% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (-0.34 -0.34)43.54% (0.347 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (-0.334 -0.33)65.93% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)9.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.58% (-0.191 -0.19)31.42% (0.2 0.2)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.58% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)56.42% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.29% (-0.193 -0.19)88.71% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 77.62%
    Preston North End 7.16%
    Draw 15.22%
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 14.8% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 11.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 77.62%
1-1 @ 7.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 15.22%
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 7.16%

How you voted: Leeds vs Preston

Leeds United
81.1%
Draw
16.2%
Preston North End
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Preston
1-1
Leeds
Potts (23')
Whiteman (32'), Osmajic (58'), Lindsay (88')
Whatmough (90+3' og.)
Farke (37'), James (39')
Jan 21, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Leeds
2-1
Preston
James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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