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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Preston North End logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Preston

Solomon (4'), Bogle (13')
Darlow (72'), Ampadu (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kesler (6')
Hughes (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Leeds
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 7.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
77.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.22% (0.041 0.04)7.16% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 39.52% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (-0.34 -0.34)43.54% (0.347 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (-0.334 -0.33)65.93% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)9.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.58% (-0.191 -0.19)31.42% (0.2 0.2)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.58% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)56.42% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.29% (-0.193 -0.19)88.71% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 77.62%
    Preston North End 7.16%
    Draw 15.22%
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 14.8% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 11.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 77.62%
1-1 @ 7.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 15.22%
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 7.16%

How you voted: Leeds vs Preston

Leeds United
81.1%
Draw
16.2%
Preston North End
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Preston
1-1
Leeds
Potts (23')
Whiteman (32'), Osmajic (58'), Lindsay (88')
Whatmough (90+3' og.)
Farke (37'), James (39')
Jan 21, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Leeds
2-1
Preston
James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
1-1
Preston
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
1-1
Leeds
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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