

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | SC Farense |
| 52.44% ( | 24.31% ( | 23.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( | 49.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( | 18.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.75% ( | 50.25% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( | 35.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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