

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga | 
| 37.85% | 24.58% (  -0) | 37.58% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 59.33% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.36% (  0.02) | 43.64% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.97% (  0.02) | 66.04% (  -0.02) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.09% (  0.01) | 22.91% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.34% (  0.01) | 56.67% (  -0.01) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.95% (  0.01) | 23.05% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.13% (  0.02) | 56.87% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga | 
| 2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.78% (  -0) 2-0 @ 5.73% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.03% (  0) 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.52% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.12% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.04% (  0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 11.41% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% (  0) 0-0 @ 5.28% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% (  0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.75% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% (  -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.02% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.78% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.5% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.02% (  0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.58% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 | 
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 | 
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
