

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 37.85% | 24.58% ( | 37.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( | 43.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( | 66.04% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( | 22.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.34% ( | 56.67% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( | 23.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.13% ( | 56.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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