Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.