Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.