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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Newport County

MK Dons
0 - 0
Newport


Thompson-Sommers (23'), Maguire (39'), Lemonheigh-Evans (43'), O'Reilly (45+1')
FT

Baker-Richardson (50'), Hudlin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Newport County

The arrival of Warne will bring about a new buzz at MK Dons, yet it may not impact on their fortunes this week. Therefore, we are backing a low-key draw to play out in Milton Keynes, one which may mathematically guarantee fourth-tier survival for both clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNewport County
63.81% (-0.428 -0.43) 20.41% (0.164 0.16) 15.78% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (-0.212 -0.21)43.3% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-0.21 -0.21)65.69% (0.211 0.21)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.188 -0.19)12.89% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.387 -0.39)39.29% (0.388 0.39)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (0.215 0.21)40.35% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.03% (0.197 0.2)76.97% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 63.8%
    Newport County 15.78%
    Draw 20.41%
MK DonsDrawNewport County
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.78%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Newport
6-3
MK Dons
Morris (12', 16', 36' pen.), Kamwa (23', 47', 81')
Kamwa (79')
Offord (45+3', 75'), White (71')
Nemane (34'), White (72'), Maguire (79')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
3-0
Newport
Kemp (12'), Payne (23'), Gilbey (29')
Gilbey (83'), Tomlinson (88')

Wildig (25'), Morris (31'), Evans (85')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Newport
0-0
MK Dons
Bogle (15'), Evans (45+2')
Norman (67'), Payne (90+5')
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
MK Dons
3-1
Newport
Burns (27'), Dennis (59'), Grigg (77')
Tucker (85' og.)
Jan 7, 2020 7.30pm
Round of 16
Newport
3-0
MK Dons
Abrahams (4'), Amond (25'), Sorinola (35' og.)
Sheehan (8'), Bennett (68'), Dolan (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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