Charleroi

4 - 1

Dender

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Dender had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.