

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 24.78% and a draw has a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.22%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 55.82% ( | 19.39% ( | 24.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 71.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.31% ( | 24.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.49% ( | 44.51% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.73% ( | 9.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.69% ( | 31.31% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( | 20.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.28% ( | 53.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-2 @ 5.32% ( 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 4-2 @ 3.16% ( 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 4-3 @ 1.65% ( 5-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 4.52% Total : 55.82% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 3-3 @ 2.77% ( 0-0 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.39% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 3-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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