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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 25, 2024 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
vs.
Adelaide United
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Western Sydney
Friday, January 12 at 9.15am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Central Coast vs. Melbourne City
Sunday, January 21 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 24.78% and a draw has a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.22%).

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
55.82% (-1.365 -1.37) 19.39% (0.576 0.58) 24.78% (0.79 0.79)
Both teams to score 71.71% (-1.324 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.31% (-1.993 -1.99)24.69% (1.994 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.49% (-2.662 -2.66)44.51% (2.665 2.67)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (-0.923 -0.92)9.27% (0.925 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.69% (-2.246 -2.25)31.31% (2.247 2.25)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.648 -0.65)20.96% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-1.022 -1.02)53.72% (1.025 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 55.82%
    Adelaide United 24.79%
    Draw 19.39%
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.255 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.269 0.27)
3-2 @ 5.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-0 @ 4.62% (0.412 0.41)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.05% (-0.235 -0.23)
4-2 @ 3.16% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.65% (-0.167 -0.17)
5-2 @ 1.51% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 55.82%
1-1 @ 7.22% (0.512 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.77% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 1.94% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.39%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.294 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.219 0.22)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.79%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 8am
Gameweek 2
Adelaide United
6-0
Melbourne City
Irankunda (14'), Talbot (29' og.), Tunnicliffe (75'), Toure (81'), Oliveira (88', 90+4')
Sanchez (18'), Madanha (47')

Behich (49'), Natel (90')
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Adelaide United
4-2
Melbourne City
Barr (45+3'), Goodwin (50'), D'Arrigo (57'), Irankunda (85')
Nabbout (9'), Tilio (62')
Jan 29, 2023 4am
Gameweek 14
Melbourne City
3-3
Adelaide United
Lam (12'), Leckie (52'), MacLaren (90+2' pen.)
Blackwood (1'), Kitto (17'), Goodwin (43')
May 22, 2022 5.05am
Melbourne City
2-1
Adelaide United
Nabbout (17'), Leckie (34'), Tilio (105')
Yengi (7'), Juande (80'), Oliveira (116')
May 18, 2022 10.05am
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