

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 38.61% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.85%).
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 38.61% ( | 21.93% ( | 39.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.72% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.48% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( | 16.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.4% ( | 46.59% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( | 16.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.02% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 4-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-3 @ 2.58% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 2-3 @ 4.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 3-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 39.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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