

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar | 
| 56.22% (  0.33) | 20.51% (  -0.31) | 23.26% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 65.32% (  1.17) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.96% (  1.52) | 32.04% (  -1.53) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 46.39% (  1.76) | 53.61% (  -1.76) | 
| Melbourne City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.5% (  0.58) | 11.5% (  -0.58) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.63% (  1.25) | 36.37% (  -1.25) | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.81% (  0.84) | 26.19% (  -0.84) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.72% (  1.11) | 61.28% (  -1.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar | 
| 2-1 @ 9.44% (  -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.05% (  -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.81% (  0.08) 1-0 @ 6.51% (  -0.39) 3-0 @ 5.08% (  -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.56% (  0.16) 4-1 @ 3.68% (  0.13) 4-0 @ 2.75% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 2.47% (  0.14) 5-1 @ 1.59% (  0.09) 5-0 @ 1.19% (  0.04) 4-3 @ 1.1% (  0.09) 5-2 @ 1.07% (  0.08) Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 8.73% (  -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.32% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 3.01% (  -0.26) 3-3 @ 2.04% (  0.12) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 5.85% (  -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.04% (  -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.82% (  0.1) 0-2 @ 2.7% (  -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.61% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% (  0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.26% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 46 | 
| 2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 41 | 
| 3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 40 | 
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 36 | 
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 | 
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 33 | 
| 7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 33 | 
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 26 | 
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 25 | 
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 | 
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 11 | 
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 54 | -38 | 11 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
