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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
8 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Good (10'), MacLaren (14', 34', 58'), Natel (48', 70'), Arslan (76'), Mazzeo (85')
Sakhi (45+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Brownlie (62')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-3 Central Coast
Thursday, December 21 at 9am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
56.22% (0.331 0.33) 20.51% (-0.314 -0.31) 23.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.32% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (1.522 1.52)32.04% (-1.526 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (1.758 1.76)53.61% (-1.763 -1.76)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (0.581 0.58)11.5% (-0.585 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.63% (1.247 1.25)36.37% (-1.253 -1.25)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.83600000000001 0.84)26.19% (-0.84 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (1.109 1.11)61.28% (-1.114 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 56.22%
    Brisbane Roar 23.26%
    Draw 20.51%
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.084 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.142 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.041 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.1% (0.088 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 23.26%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Brisbane Roar
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 4am
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Melbourne City
Hore (9')
Aldred (90+1')
Trewin (14' og.), Borges Rodrigues (49')
Berenguer (67'), Hall (90+4')
Nov 19, 2021 8.45am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC22137242212146
2Western UnitedWestern Utd22125549311841
3Melbourne CityMelbourne City22124631201140
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney22106650371336
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2210663830836
6Sydney FCSydney FC2296747361133
7Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United229674848033
8Macarthur239594638832
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2275103439-526
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2351082641-1525
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2266102334-1124
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2125142445-2111
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2325161654-3811


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