Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
52.31% (![]() | 21.85% (![]() | 25.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.15% (![]() | 35.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.07% (![]() | 57.93% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% (![]() | 13.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.62% (![]() | 41.38% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% (![]() | 26.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% (![]() | 61.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.51% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 6.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |