

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 44.33% ( | 23.37% ( | 32.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( | 38.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( | 61.23% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( | 17.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.24% ( | 48.76% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( | 23.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.11% ( | 57.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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