

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 37.22% ( | 22.79% ( | 39.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.17% ( | 34.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.2% ( | 56.8% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( | 19.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.95% ( | 51.05% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( | 18.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.02% ( | 48.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-3 @ 2.16% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 3-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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