Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 72.97% ( | 16.53% ( | 10.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( | 38.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( | 60.43% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( | 9.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.13% ( | 30.86% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.75% ( | 45.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.87% ( | 81.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 4-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 6-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 4.07% Total : 72.97% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 2-2 @ 3.72% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.26% ( 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0-2 @ 1.29% ( 2-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 70 | 10 | 60 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 56 | 17 | 39 | 52 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Ajax | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Almere CityAlmere City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 27 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 24 |
| 14 | Heracles | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 22 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 18 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 13 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 46 | -30 | 13 |
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