

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.14%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 82.72% ( | 11.39% ( | 5.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.65% ( | 50.34% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.81% ( | 5.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.45% ( | 20.55% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.22% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.49% ( | 84.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 3-0 @ 11.14% ( 4-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 4-1 @ 5.75% ( 5-0 @ 4.88% ( 5-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 6-0 @ 2.41% ( 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 6-1 @ 1.68% ( 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 7-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 82.7% | 1-1 @ 5.33% ( 2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0-0 @ 2.58% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 11.39% | 1-2 @ 1.86% ( 0-1 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
