

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 34.65% ( | 22.5% ( | 42.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.22% ( | 33.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( | 20.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.71% ( | 52.29% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% | 16.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.84% ( | 46.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 2-3 @ 4.17% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 3-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 42.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
