

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.89%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 4-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 84.89% ( | 9.84% ( | 5.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.21% ( | 42.79% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.19% ( | 3.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 83.75% ( | 16.24% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.24% ( | 46.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.7% ( | 82.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 3-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 4-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 4-1 @ 6.43% ( 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 5-0 @ 5.53% ( 5-1 @ 4.21% ( 6-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 6-1 @ 2.29% ( 5-2 @ 1.6% ( 7-0 @ 1.41% ( 7-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 4.65% Total : 84.88% | 1-1 @ 4.42% ( 2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0-0 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 9.84% | 1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0-1 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 5.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
