Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
76.74% (![]() | 15.24% (![]() | 8.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% (![]() | 40.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% (![]() | 62.67% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.26% (![]() | 8.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.97% (![]() | 30.03% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48% (![]() | 52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.99% (![]() | 86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 13.49% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.96% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.72% | 1-1 @ 7.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.24% | 0-1 @ 2.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 55 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
4 | Braga | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 43 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 41 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 28 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 26 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 25 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 24 |
12 | Casa Pia | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 22 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 21 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 21 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 17 |
18 | Vizela | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 16 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |