Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vizela win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 30.82% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Arouca win is 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
| 30.82% ( | 27.4% ( | 41.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.18% ( | 56.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.25% ( | 77.75% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( | 33.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.72% ( | 70.28% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( | 26.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.89% ( | 62.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
