

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 49.74% ( | 22.06% ( | 28.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.11% ( | 34.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.13% ( | 56.87% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( | 14.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.65% ( | 42.34% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 3-1 @ 6% ( 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 25 |
| 5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 8 |
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