Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
49.74% (![]() | 22.06% (![]() | 28.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.11% (![]() | 34.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.13% (![]() | 56.87% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% (![]() | 14.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.65% (![]() | 42.34% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% (![]() | 58.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.29% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.8% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
4 | Macarthur | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 25 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |