

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory | 
| 26.98% (  0.38) | 22.73% (  0.2) | 50.29% (  -0.57) | 
| Both teams to score 61.29% (  -0.36) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.92% (  -0.62) | 39.08% (  0.62) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.59% (  -0.66) | 61.41% (  0.66) | 
| Perth Glory Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.75% (  -0.06) | 27.25% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.32% (  -0.08) | 62.68% (  0.07) | 
| Melbourne Victory Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.24% (  -0.43) | 15.76% (  0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.13% (  -0.79) | 44.87% (  0.79) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory | 
| 2-1 @ 6.71% (  0.08) 1-0 @ 5.58% (  0.15) 2-0 @ 3.63% (  0.09) 3-1 @ 2.91% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 0.95% (  0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 10.31% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 6.2% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% (  0.12) 3-3 @ 1.65% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.53% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.93% (  0.12) 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 5.87% (  -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.52% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.82% (  -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.71% (  -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.09% (  -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.76% (  -0.06) 1-5 @ 1% (  -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.29% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
