

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 61.95% ( | 19.81% ( | 18.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.03% ( | 35.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.93% ( | 58.07% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( | 11.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.31% ( | 35.69% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( | 33.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.39% ( | 69.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.72% ( 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 5-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.95% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 18.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 32 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
| 13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 7 |
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