Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.91% (![]() | 22.93% (![]() | 41.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.3% (![]() | 35.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.24% (![]() | 57.76% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% (![]() | 20.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% (![]() | 52.69% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% (![]() | 17.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% (![]() | 48.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 9.98% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.57% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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