Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
42.09% (![]() | 23.05% (![]() | 34.86% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% (![]() | 36.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.36% (![]() | 58.63% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% (![]() | 17.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% (![]() | 48.64% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% (![]() | 21.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% (![]() | 54.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.71% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.91% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 7.85% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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