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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Oxford United

Cardiff
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Salech (56')
Mannsverk (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (79')
Placheta (40'), Helik (51'), Matos (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, April 18 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Oxford United

Cardiff will be looking for an immediate reaction following the appointment of caretaker boss Ramsey, and we think that a home game against an Oxford side that have lost three of their last five away matches could prove to be the perfect opportunity for the Bluebirds to end their five-game winless run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawOxford United
52.94% (0.736 0.74) 25.65% (-0.2 -0.2) 21.41% (-0.535 -0.54)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (0.199 0.2)56.39% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (0.162 0.16)77.4% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.392 0.39)21.36% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (0.601 0.6)54.32% (-0.6 -0.6)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.436 -0.44)41.54% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (-0.386 -0.39)78.04% (0.386 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 52.93%
    Oxford United 21.41%
    Draw 25.65%
Cardiff CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 52.93%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Oxford Utd

Cardiff City
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
28.6%
42
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
3-2
Cardiff
Harris (41'), Brown (53'), Placheta (57')
Dembele (83')
Ashford (82'), Robinson (90+4')
Robertson (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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