Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.