Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 West Brom
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Luton
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
44
We said: West Bromwich Albion 0-1 Derby County
Requiring victory to boost their survival chances, Derby will be full of energy and hopeful of extending their winning run against West Brom to four games. The Baggies' season has all-but petered out following Friday's Coventry catastrophe, and we are expecting another limp display from Albion on Easter Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Derby County |
60.76% ( 1.03) | 22.45% ( -0.32) | 16.78% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
