FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Walton (17', 90+1')
Conneely (117')

FT
(aet)

Hall (45+2'), Cotterill (70')
Kilkenny (25')
Butterworth (41')

Accrington win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Swindon 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%).

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Swindon Town
28.98% ( 0.15)	24.08% ( 0.01)	46.94% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 58.14% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

0.03)

43.94% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

0.04)

66.32% (

-0.04)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

0.12)

28.34% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

0.15)

64.07% (

-0.16)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.05)

18.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66% (

-0.08)

50.34% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 28.98%

Swindon Town 46.94%

Draw 24.08%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.98%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.94%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley

78.6%

Swindon Town

21.4%

Head to Head

Nov 16, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 16

Accrington

2-2

Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')

Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

> Preview

Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 38

Swindon

1-2

Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')

Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Accrington

3-4

Swindon

Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')

Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')

Mar 6, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 34

Accrington

2-1

Swindon

Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')

Pitman (30')

Nov 17, 2020 7pm

Gameweek 9

Swindon

0-3