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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Morecambe

Carlisle
0 - 1
Morecambe


Ellis (60')
Mellish (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (61')
Hendrie (36'), Lewis (89'), Tutonda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Morecambe

Despite their recent struggles, Morecambe have looked much more cohesive and decisive away from home, and we believe they can frustrate a side that have been dismal in front of their supporters all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
36.68% (-0.707 -0.71) 26.65% (0.117 0.12) 36.67% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.481 -0.48)52.94% (0.476 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.411 -0.41)74.54% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.642 -0.64)27.85% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)63.45% (0.824 0.82)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.117 0.12)27.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.15 0.15)63.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Morecambe 36.67%
    Draw 26.65%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Morecambe

Carlisle United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Morecambe
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
1-2
Carlisle
Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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