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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Morecambe in this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Morecambe |
36.68% (![]() | 26.65% (![]() | 36.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% (![]() | 52.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% (![]() | 74.54% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% (![]() | 63.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 12.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 76 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 73 |
3 | Walsall | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 71 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 69 |
6 | Notts County | 42 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 68 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 66 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 65 |
9 | Chesterfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 62 |
10 | Salford City | 41 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 57 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Bromley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 56 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 55 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 47 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 46 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 46 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 44 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 43 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 37 |
24 | Morecambe | 42 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |