

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 47.74% (  -1.28) | 25.49% (  0.48) | 26.77% (  0.8) | 
| Both teams to score 51.91% (  -0.8) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.64% (  -1.37) | 51.37% (  1.37) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.81% (  -1.21) | 73.19% (  1.21) | 
| Fleetwood Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.48% (  -1.11) | 21.52% (  1.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.42% (  -1.73) | 54.59% (  1.73) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.14% (  -0.08) | 33.86% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.48% (  -0.09) | 70.53% (  0.09) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 1-0 @ 11.19% (  0.24) 2-1 @ 9.31% (  -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.6% (  -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.77% (  -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.4% (  -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.58% (  -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.83% (  -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.69% (  -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.99% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (  0.23) 0-0 @ 7.29% (  0.39) 2-2 @ 5.04% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.93% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% (  0.41) 1-2 @ 6.57% (  0.11) 0-2 @ 4.27% (  0.21) 1-3 @ 2.37% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% (  0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.77% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
