Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
