FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

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Reading
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Bindon (48', 48'), Potter (86' og.)
Rushesha (6'), Rushesha (6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 4-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reading in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reading.

Result
Reading	Draw	Fleetwood Town
43.42% ( 0.18)	24.33% ( -0.06)	32.26% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 59.1% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

0.26)

43.46% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.14% (

0.26)

65.86% (

-0.26)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

0.19)

20.17% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

0.3)

52.46% (

-0.3)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

0.06)

25.96% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

0.08)

60.98% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Reading 43.42%

Fleetwood Town 32.26%

Draw 24.32%

Reading	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.26%