

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading | 
| 33.21% (  -0.71) | 24.8% (  -0.52) | 41.98% (  1.24) | 
| Both teams to score 57.77% (  1.61) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.65% (  2.18) | 45.35% (  -2.17) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.31% (  2.05) | 67.69% (  -2.04) | 
| Fleetwood Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.71% (  0.62) | 26.29% (  -0.61) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.58% (  0.81) | 61.42% (  -0.81) | 
| Reading Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.38% (  1.54) | 21.62% (  -1.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.27% (  2.31) | 54.73% (  -2.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading | 
| 2-1 @ 7.77% (  -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% (  -0.59) 2-0 @ 5.07% (  -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.46% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% (  0.13) 3-0 @ 2.26% (  -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.16% (  0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (  -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.95% (  0.2) 0-0 @ 5.69% (  -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.35% (  0.13) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.91% (  0.15) 0-1 @ 8.71% (  -0.41) 0-2 @ 6.67% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.55% (  0.28) 0-3 @ 3.4% (  0.15) 2-3 @ 3.04% (  0.24) 1-4 @ 1.74% (  0.18) 0-4 @ 1.3% (  0.12) 2-4 @ 1.16% (  0.14) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.98% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
