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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion

Reading
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Burton Albion

Reading have some momentum courtesy of their last triumph and will back themselves to see off the threat of a struggling Burton side. We fully expect the home side to collect maximum points in front of their fans for the second game running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
47.14% (-3.87 -3.87) 24.63% (0.454 0.45) 28.23% (3.419 3.42)
Both teams to score 55.76% (1.531 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.62 0.62)46.83% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.577 0.58)69.08% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.325 -1.33)19.94% (1.329 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.183 -2.18)52.09% (2.187 2.19)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (3.018 3.02)30.35% (-3.014 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (3.452 3.45)66.54% (-3.448 -3.45)
Score Analysis
    Reading 47.14%
    Burton Albion 28.23%
    Draw 24.63%
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.91 -0.91)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.363 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.305 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.647 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.561 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.455 0.46)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.288 0.29)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.341 0.34)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Reading vs Burton Albion

Reading
72.7%
Draw
15.2%
Burton Albion
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
3-2
Reading
Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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