

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 38.27% (  -0.88) | 26.22% (  0.57) | 35.51% (  0.31) | 
| Both teams to score 53.44% (  -1.87) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.84% (  -2.42) | 51.16% (  2.42) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.99% (  -2.15) | 73.01% (  2.16) | 
| Grimsby Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.9% (  -1.58) | 26.1% (  1.58) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.84% (  -2.17) | 61.16% (  2.17) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.31% (  -0.97) | 27.69% (  0.97) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.75% (  -1.26) | 63.25% (  1.26) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 1-0 @ 9.71% (  0.5) 2-1 @ 8.37% (  -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.52% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 3.75% (  -0.26) 3-0 @ 2.92% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.41% (  -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.26% (  -0.15) 4-0 @ 0.98% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 12.46% (  0.31) 0-0 @ 7.23% (  0.68) 2-2 @ 5.38% (  -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.03% (  -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.28% (  0.63) 1-2 @ 8% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.96% (  0.25) 1-3 @ 3.43% (  -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.55% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% (  -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.1% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.51% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
