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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town

Newport
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Wildig (63'), Baker (71'), Whitmore (78')
FT

McJannett (58'), Green (65'), Thompson (78'), Rodgers (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Newport County 1-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are yet to draw in the league this season, but we believe that run will come to an end on Saturday. Two of the last three League Two contests between these two sides have finished level, and we can see a tight match ending 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
32.85% (0.159 0.16) 25.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 41.93% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (-0.225 -0.23)47.35% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.207 -0.21)69.57% (0.205 0.2)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.205 -0.2)22.5% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.306 -0.31)56.07% (0.302 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.85%
    Grimsby Town 41.93%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Newport vs Grimsby Town

Newport County
34.8%
Draw
8.7%
Grimsby Town
56.5%
23
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Grimsby Town
1-0
Newport
Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Newport
1-1
Grimsby Town
Bogle (72')
Bogle (90+4')
Rose (78')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
1-0
Grimsby Town
Maynard (51')
Bennett (37')

Matete (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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