

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City | 
| 31.35% (  -0.45) | 25.6% (  0.16) | 43.05% (  0.29) | 
| Both teams to score 54.35% (  -0.7) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.51% (  -0.83) | 49.49% (  0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.48% (  -0.75) | 71.52% (  0.75) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.49% (  -0.71) | 29.51% (  0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.47% (  -0.88) | 65.53% (  0.88) | 
| Salford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.11% (  -0.22) | 22.89% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.36% (  -0.32) | 56.64% (  0.32) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City | 
| 1-0 @ 8.24% (  0.12) 2-1 @ 7.42% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.03% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.02% (  -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.22% (  -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.05% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.92% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.35% | 1-1 @ 12.15% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 6.76% (  0.23) 2-2 @ 5.47% (  -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.09% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.96% (  0.27) 1-2 @ 8.96% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 7.34% (  0.15) 1-3 @ 4.41% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.61% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% (  -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.62% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.05% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
