Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.