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AFC Wimbledon
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 9
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Crewe Alexandra

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Crewe

Stevens (41' pen., 56'), Reeves (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lowery (5'), Williams (21'), Conway (71'), Powell (77')
Knight-Lebel (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Both teams enter this clash seeking vital points to fuel their promotion push, but we are backing Wimbledon for a narrow win, given their strong home form, having won their last three outings at Plough Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
41.31% (0.57100000000001 0.57) 29.33% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 29.35% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 42.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.15% (0.118 0.12)63.85% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.92% (0.085000000000001 0.09)83.07% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (0.39 0.39)30.47% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.461 0.46)66.68% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (-0.318 -0.32)38.56% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-0.305 -0.31)75.3% (0.31 0.31)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 41.31%
    Crewe Alexandra 29.35%
    Draw 29.32%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.96% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.141 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 11.19% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 29.35%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe

AFC Wimbledon
61.9%
Draw
23.8%
Crewe Alexandra
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')
Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Crewe
Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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