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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
41.31% (![]() | 29.33% (![]() | 29.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.15% (![]() | 63.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.92% (![]() | 83.07% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% (![]() | 30.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% (![]() | 66.68% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% (![]() | 38.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.7% (![]() | 75.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.96% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.33% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 13.3% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 11.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.58% Total : 29.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 |
3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 |
6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 |
7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |